Am I Bad Luck For the Patriots?

Mush: ​To mush means to create bad luck for others in gambling situations. The mush is also considered to be a sort of invisible force that brings bad beats and generally unlucky outcomes in gambling games – a jinx or a hex, if you will. This term may also be used when referring to a particularly ill-starred person.

This blog is going to feature a lot of math. So if you've enjoyed reading my typos and grammatical errors over the last few months then you're in for a special treat of getting to watch me do math. Here we go!

​Since 2012 the New England Patriots are 31-5 (31-6 I messed up) at home in the regular season and 5-1 at home during the playoffs which combined is a record 36-6 a .857 winning percentage, let's just call it 86%.

​You can check my math. 

Pretty good huh? (When I "proofread" this blog I realized the Pats have lost 7 times since 2012 but that really only changes my math a tiny bit ) 


Over 42 home games over the last 4 plus season the Patriots have only lost 7 times. Incredible. If you exclude their week 4 loss to the Bills where Brady didn't play then it's really 6 losses in 5 years. They've consistently been the best team in the NFL for over the last 15 years. If you go to a Patriots home game it is incredibility likely they're going to win.

I am a die-hard Patriots fan. Judge me all you want but I love this team more than a lot of my extended family members. They are responsible for some of the greatest moments and memories I've had in my life and have brought me closer to many people throughout my years as well. Sports can unite people and they have for me. I love going to Pats games, it's something I don't get to do a ton since tickets so hard to get it. It's not like going to Fenway where you have 81 chances to make it there. With football there's 8.  

I've been to 6 games since 2012 and they've lost HALF of them including 3 of the last 4 times I've gone. Patriots are 36-7 at home overall but drop to 3-3 when Ole Dozo is in the house.  In only 6 trips to the Razor I've witnessed (just under) half of their home losses in 13.95% of the potential opportunities. Statistically almost impossible. There's only about a 14% chance the Patriots will lose when they play a home game over since 2012. Very low odds. Yet I've witnesses (almost) half of them in only 6 trips to Foxboro since 2012. 

Think about it like this. You have a bag with 43 things in it. In this case wins and losses. W=win L=loss. The Patriots have won 36 times and lost 7 in 4 plus seasons. So there's 36 W and 7 L in a bag. 43 things to grab, you grab 6 letters to represent the 6 times I've been at Gillette. Statistically you are 6 times more likely to grab a W yet in 6 grabs you get HALF of the L's in the bag. That's basically what I've done. 

Somethings in life just cannot be explained. It's basically religions biggest argument against science. 

Now I'm not a jinx or a bad luck guy at all. I don't really buy into that but after last night and the way the Patriots lost not only that game but the others as well I might have to change my tune. I mean the odds of me seeing to quote Lebron James not 1, not 2 but 3 losses in 6 games when this team has only lost 6 games is staggering. 

Let's take a deeper look into the losses I've witnesses:

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2012 AFC Championship Game: January 20th, 2013 (Patriots are a 7.5 point favorite)
Baltimore Ravens beat New England Patriots 28-13.

The Patriots led at halftime 13-7. Going into this game Tom Brady lead Patriot teams were 67-0 when leading at half time at home. 67 and fucking 0. 

Not only were the Patriots 67-0 when leading at half but the franchise was also 5-0 at home in the AFC Championship game. 

Well I guess there is a first time for everything and (un)luckily for me I was there to witness it. 

Aqib Talib gets hurt. The Patriots cannot stop Joe Flacco and also cannot finish drives. Get outscored 21-0 in the second half. Lose 28-13. Season is over. Ravens go on to win the Super Bowl. Oh and Aaron Hernandez murders half of Massachusetts in the off season for good measure.

2014 Week 17: December 28th, 2014. (Patriots are 6.5 favorite)
Buffalo Bills beat New England Patriots 17-9. 

Now this loss was not nearly as devastating as the other two but still statistically doesn't make sense and helps prove my hypothesis that I may be bad luck.

Going into this game the Buffalo Bills had NEVER won in the history of Gillette Stadium. 

The Patriots were 12-0 at home against the Bills since 2002. While the Patriots already had locked up home-field advantage in the AFC playoffs and had nothing to play for they did play most starters for entire first half and didn't score a single touchdown. Much like how the Patriots had never lost a home AFC championship game and never blown a half time lead with Tom Brady the past stats did not matter. I was in the house the Patriots were going to find a way to lose. 

In the Patriots 2014 Super Bowl Championship season they went 9-1 at home (including the playoffs) and you guessed it, I was in the house for their one loss.
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2016 Week 10: November 13th, 2016. (Patriots are 7.5 point favorite)
Seattle Seahawks beat Patriots 31-24. 

That brings us to last night. Super Bowl XLIX rematch. My least favorite team in all of sports the Seattle Seahawks and all their loser 12 man fans are in town. The Seahawks offense going into the game was struggling. I think they're like 20th in the NFL in scoring yet they put up 31 points against the Pats in primetime. Not only that but the Patriots defense looks horrible all night. They only forced to  Seahawks to punt twice. 

Going into the game Tom Brady had thrown 12 touchdowns and 0 interceptions since returning from suspension, then last night he throws no touchdowns and his first INT of the year. A absolutely horrible throw btw. 
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Yet despite all of this, the Patriots still had a chance to tie the game in the final minutes. The Pats had 1st and goal inside the 2 yard line and could not score. Horrible look. Horrible feeling. I was sick to my stomach. I wanted to fight a Seahawks fan more than I've ever wanted anything in my entire life. Luckily I kept my composure and instead just talked a ton of shit on the way out. They were chanting Sea-Hawks on the walk out and I just kept chanting MALCOLM BUTLER. I really showed them. (Yeah I'm a huge loser and as I type this sentence realize that I'm definitely going to die alone) 

In all three games the Patriots were favored by over a touchdown and still found a way to lose. Not only did they lose but they lost in ways very uncharacteristic of them. Crazy streaks ended just think about that. First blown home half time lead of the Tom Brady era, first home AFC championship loss, and the first home loss to the Bills at Gillette Stadium. Then last night 4 straight plays inside the 2 yard line and they cannot punch it in. 

If you wanna blame me you can because I'm starting to think something is up. I'm torn because I love going to Patriots games and want to go to more. But I mean look at the numbers, they are a much better team when I'm watching anywhere that isn't Gillette Stadium. Only one way to really prove or disprove my theory and that is to take me Patriot games. So anybody who wants to either prove or disprove my theory then please feel free to bring me with you to Gillette. If they lose I may never go back again, as much as that hurts me. I'm just that kind of guy, I'm not gonna ruin it for everybody else.