DozOnLife
  • Blogs
    • Sports
    • Music
    • TV
    • Movies
    • Advice
    • Everything Else
  • About
  • Contact

Official DOL Thursday Night Football Bets

9/23/2021

0 Comments

 
Picture
Image Source
​Thank you to the tens of thousands who turned into #DozVsTheDozen VI and already heard my official picks for TNF, but since I'm a man of the people, I'm going to do those who didn't tune in a favor and give them not one, but two winners for a lackluster TNF match up.


Usually, I'm a big + money only bet guy, but I'm taking OVER 43 -110. Anytime an O/U is under 44, I'm gonna take the over and hope for the best, but I actually have some stats to back this up.
Picture
  • I know the sample size is nearly as small as it can possibly be, but through two games, the Houston Texans are 8th in the NFL in scoring with 58 points (29.0 PPG) and 20th in points allowed (26.0 PPG), giving up 21 and 31 against the Jaguars and Browns respectively.
  • Carolina's defense is currently 1st in the NFL in yards and points allowed (10.5 PPG), but they faced the Jets, who had a rookie QB making his first start, and the Saints in a huge letdown spot where everybody was getting ready to give Jameis the MVP. I think we see some regression tonight. Even though this contradicts my earlier point in this point, with a rookie QB Davis Mills (which sounds like a field trip you take in 5th grade) making his first start, I'm going with the ignorance is bliss; this offense isn't as bad as people think, Texans score at least 17 to sort of do their part.
  • Carolina's offense is averaging 22.5 points a game. If they can stay on schedule, that's already over half of what we need. I think this could be the CMC breakout game. ​
Sam Darnold OVER 0.5 INT +100
Picture
​
  • Through two games, Sam Darnold has thrown one interception, and it was to a D-lineman. While Darnold has looked alright in Carolina, in 40 career starts, he's thrown 40 career INTs. Anytime you can get + money for a below-average QB to throw a pick, it's decent value IMO. It was +110 when I first saw it before the Dozen; admittedly I wish I got in then.​
Both bets are just a light TNF peppering at a half unit each. ALWAYS wager responsibly.
0 Comments



Leave a Reply.

    RSS Feed

    Archives

    December 2022
    November 2022
    October 2022
    September 2022
    August 2022
    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    December 2021
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017
    September 2017
    August 2017
    July 2017
    June 2017
    May 2017
    April 2017
    March 2017
    February 2017
    January 2017
    December 2016
    November 2016
    October 2016
    September 2016
    August 2016
    July 2016
    June 2016
    May 2016
    April 2016
    March 2016
    February 2016

Proudly powered by Weebly
  • Blogs
    • Sports
    • Music
    • TV
    • Movies
    • Advice
    • Everything Else
  • About
  • Contact