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DOL Too Many Legs of the Week (Super Wild Card Edition)

1/9/2021

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Normally I've done some sort of prediction/preview blog before the playoff starts (Wild Card Blogs: 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019) but with the advent of the Super Wild Card Round and #TooManyLegs things are going to be a little bit different this year (how many more times can we read that?).  We've got a game on Nickelodeon for God's sake.

Since there's six wild card games as opposed to the regular four, I can find enough legs to have a special Super Wild Card Round of TML. Not that it's not possible with four games, but I don't like to double dip and that would require me doing so for every match-up. This will serve as my 2020 (respect the league year) Wild Card picks blog.

Sadly, Week 17 saw the most devastating end to a teaser yet. 7-1 on legs with the one L coming by a half fucking point. But time is of the essence, I need to get this out so you guys have enough time to get your bets in. Let's get into the teaser.
Previous Weeks:
Week 2 and 3
Week 4; (Week 4 victory recap)
Week 5; (booo Bengals)
​Week 6
Week 7; (Week 7 victory recap)
Week 8
Week 9
Week 10
Week 11
​Week 12 
Week 13; (Victory recap)
Week 14
Week 15; (victory recap)
Week 16
Week 17; FUCK the Panthers
Bills -0.5 (from -6.5) AND Bills/Colts OVER 44.5 (from 50.5)
  • Both of these offenses were top 10 in points scored (Bills 2nd, Colts 9th)
    • Even though I'm worried about Phillip Rivers outside in the cold, I think the Colts running game will help carry the load to put up at least 20 points
  • I realllly love this Bills team. They were so close to beating the Texans last year and if Josh Allen doesn't fumble I think they would have. This year they're at home with I believe 6,700 fans in the house. Sure it's a little different, but it's still the Bills first home playoff game in a quarter century. They'll win this game. I think this team can go into Arrowhead and win, but they gotta take care of business today first.

Bills 31
​Colts 23
Seahawks +3 (from -3) and Seahawks/Rams UNDER 48.5 (from 42.5)
I know I'm not supposed to tease past zero, but Russell Wilson is absolute money in the playoffs. He's 6-1 in his first game of playoffs (h/t Tommy Smokes) and sure there's no fans in Seattle, but the Rams are starting a dude with a linkedin page and Jude Law hair making his second career start. Do we really expect John Wolford to defeat the MVP of September and October?

I don't expect a ton of points, this is gonna be an ugly game in the teens. MAYBE the Seahawks get into the 20s, but I don't think the Rams will.

In an absolute emergency situation we still have protection with a field goal loss at +3, but I fully expect the Seahawks to win. I'm probably gonna bet the real line as well.

Seahawks 23
Rams 16
Buccaneers -3 (from -9)
The Football Team has been an awesome story this season, but they straight up don't have a QB and Brady has an absolute chip on his shoulder right now. The Maroon 4 defensive line in Washington could be a problem for TB12, the Bucs have sucked at night, AND 8-8 or worse teams have won their 6 of their last 7 playoff openers, but I'm being a basic bitch and going with my guy who betrayed me and millions of other New Englanders.

Bucs 24
Football Team 13
Ravens/Titans OVER 48.5 (from 54.5)
Both teams love to run the ball which sort of worries me in a teased over situation because we could see some long sustained drives, but the Titans defense is so fucking bad bro. We're gonna see some points in Nashville. I wanted to tease them to +9, but just cannot trust their defense even though they beat the Ravens earlier this year and in the playoffs last season. If the Ravens have any pride they'll win this game. In four previous playoff matchups between these two franchises the four team is 4-0.

Ravens 31
Titans 28
Bears/Saints OVER 41.5 (from 47.5)
The Bears offense is significantly better with Mitch Trubisky in the line up and I don't like teasing this total either way, so I'm just rooting for points here. These offenses GOTTA find a way to both get into the 20s. With Kamara back, we might just might need the Bears to put up like 13 to do their part.

Saints 27
Bears 20
Steelers PICK EM (From -6)
The way I see it, if we get to this spot alive the possibility of hedging with Browns ML is very much in play. I hate the Steelers and think they're frauds, but the Browns are going out their without a coach and were barely able to beat the Steelers last week when they were resting guys. Big Ben has never lost the Browns in Pittsburgh and while a stat like that could say they're due, it's a tall order without their coach and play caller. 

Steelers 24
Browns 19
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Best of luck and as always, please wager responsibly. 
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